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Thursday, July 16, 2009

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Storms weakening, to miss Hawai‘i


This image shows tropical storms Dolores (Right) and Carlos (middle). The small red arrows indicate the storms’ headings. Moisture in the air is measured by the color bar (at the bottom of the image), from dryest (left) to wettest (right). Image provided by NOAA

By Coco Zickos - The Garden Island
Published: Thursday, July 16, 2009 2:09 AM HST
LIHU‘E — As tropical storm Carlos continues on its weakening trend about 1,800 miles southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, forecasters say it likely will not impact the 50th state.

“At this point, if it follows the projected track, it won’t cause effect,” said National Weather Service Forecaster Derek Wroe Wednesday afternoon. “But it’s hard to say with high degree of certainty.”

Carlos should continue moving westbound, and is expected to be due south by Monday or Tuesday, Wroe adds. Meteorologists will be monitoring for the next 5 days.

Another storm system, Dolores, has since formed and is currently located about 2,400 miles east of Hilo, but is also predicted to dissipate in strength as it travels northwest through cooler waters, according to Wroe.


Dolores is expected to peak in the next 24 to 36 hours as it moves into a “hostile area for hurricanes,” Wroe said.

By the time the system reaches the islands, it will have passed through an environment unable to sustain tropical cyclones, and at best, the state could be hit with enhanced rainfall next week, he concluded.

While it is still too early to predict whether either one of these systems will pose a serious threat to the islands, it is always advisable that residents be prepared for the hurricane season.

The official hurricane season in the Central Pacific region opened June 1 and runs through Nov. 30, according to a June press release from county spokesperson Mary Daubert.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced last week the arrival of El Niño — the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters that occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months. The climate phenomenon, according to NOAA, influences global weather, ocean conditions and marine fisheries.

Though El Niño can help “suppress Atlantic hurricane activity,” there is also a higher likelihood of tropical cyclones forming.


Part of being prepared for the season involves developing a family plan, creating a disaster supply kit, having a secure place to go, securing one’s home and having a pet plan, according to NOAA.

For more information, visit www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/disaster_prevention.shtml. To track Carlos, Dolores and other storms this hurricane season, visit www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/loop-wv.html.



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